Intelligence isn't a master key.
A clever model still needs permissions, hardware, money, and a path into the systems it wants to control.
SCIENCE FICTION. REAL QUESTIONS.
WHAT COULD
POSSIBLY
GO WRONG?
Hollywood wrote the disasters.
We checked how close we are.
24 movies · AI, surveillance & spectacularly bad decisions
✳ A probability chart, with a plot twist.
Evidence-backed scenarios. Subjective odds. Absolutely no crystal ball.
THE DISASTER WATCHLIST
Fiction has a head start.
2035Pick your lifetime horizon2075
MOVIE / SCENARIO
0%50%100%
ODDS BY 2050Select a movie to open its scenario dossier. Ranges are subjective judgments, not statistical confidence intervals.
Shaded band = our judgment range
These events overlap. Their odds do not add up, and high impact does not mean high probability.
THE PART THE MOVIES SKIP
The future has brakes.
The real world is gloriously messy.
Separate networks, physical limits, unreliable robots, and people who pull the plug all complicate a villain's day.
Bad endings aren't inevitable.
Testing, limited authority, human oversight, and better incentives can change the odds. Technology doesn't write the ending alone.